In the Fall Election, Michigan May Have the Pivotal Role of Florida in 2000 or Ohio in 2004: Romney as McCain’s VP Would Be a Formidable Obstacle
A consensus is developing that Mitt Romney will be John McCain’s choice for vice president of the United States.
For the Obama campaign, this is a matter for major concern. Why? A recent poll shows that a McCain-Romney ticket would quite easily carry the state of Michigan and its 17 electoral votes.
But with any other vice presidential nominee, McCain narrowly trails Obama in Michigan.
Romney is a native of Michigan and his father once served as its governor. Romney won the GOP primary in Michigan this past winter and he is well known and liked in the state. His success in business and in running the U.S. Olympics effort in Salt Lake City will appeal to Michigan voters who view the drain of jobs as their primary concern.
Obama is harmed by the fact that the Michigan Democratic Party is in disarray. Democratic Governor Jennifer Granholm has a popularity rating below that of George W. Bush.
Michigan is critical to Obama’s election prospect. Both Gore in 2000 and Kerry in 2004 won Michigan. If Obama were to lose Michigan, it would be urgent for him to win either the state of Ohio or Florida to compensate for the loss of Michigan’s electoral votes. Polls in Florida and Ohio show McCain running either ahead or very close to Obama.
This week OEW will offer multiple posts on some measures Barack Obama might take to improve his prospects for winning Michigan.
Senator Obama can also win in Colorado(9) and in Missouri(11) and that can also make-up for any loss in Michigan.
NEXT issue…
Romney also weakens McCain everywhere else, except Utah (which is already solid McCain) and maybe Nevada. OTOH, he may bring some bucks into the campaign. I say it’s a crap shoot for McCain and Michigan will still be close.
IS MITT ROMNEY GOING TO GIVE THE PEOPLE ANY MONEY FOR LOSING THEIR JOBS…HE SURE HAS ENOUGH OF IT…BESIDES I THINK THE PEOPLE IN UTAH ARE GOING TO HAVE A PROBLEM WITH MITT…HE NOT SO FORTH COMIING ABOUT RELIGION OR ANYTHING ELSE FOR THAT MATTER
GET A CLUE PEOPLE…VOTE FOR OBAMA!!!!!!!!!